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Showing posts with the label State Space

World-System (1950-2150) Stable French Technology Cycles

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   The 2025 Nobel Prize in Economics ( here ) was awarded for having explained the role of innovation and  Creative Destruction  in  Sustained Economic Growth . Particularly interesting (to me) was the Aghion and Hewitt paper   A Model of Growth Through Creative Destruction , which won them part of the Prize. Does the 2025 Nobel Prize have anything to say about current French economic development and political instability? I have two explicit models for technological change, one for Productivity change ( TECHP ) and another for Efficiency change ( TECHE ). The models are based on  State Space  indexes (see the Notes below) constructed using  Principal Components Analysis  ( PCA ). The  Phase Space  for the FR TECHE model is displayed above. The  Phase Space  for the FR TECHP model is displayed below. Both models are cyclical and stable with periods of over a Century (see the  Notes  ...