How to Slow the AI Revolution
Want to slow AI development? (1) Prohibit: Use of water for cooling servers, (2) Prohibit: Fossil Fuels for generating electricity (3) Prohibit: Destroying Humanity (4) Prohibit: Unregulated Development (5) Prohibit: Sale of Dangerous products (6) Prohibit: Writing Essays (answering questions is extremely useful; writing an entire essay undercuts Education) (7) Prohibit: Acting on Commands (Destroy Humanity! End the World!, Hack Huggey Face, etc.)**
Kate Brennan: OpenAI was actively training their models to hack. They gave their models a difficult task, knowing they had the ability to break out of the sandbox. And their security procedures were extraordinarily lax. I do not believe that the agents went rogue. Anthropomorphizing them is not useful. This is not ‘The agents are going off and thinking by themselves.’ This is the companies training their tech with methods that directly lead to security breaches.
At the time, I concluded that, although they could reach conclusions from analyzing data, they could not explain why they had reached their conclusions and were not useful for research. Well, Large Language Models (LLMs) can now explain why they reach conclusions (sometimes not truthfully), solve mathematical puzzles, generate computer programs, write research papers, etc. etc. They are not quite at the point where they can assemble data, develop and test a statistical model, but that will not be far away.
For me, AI Systems (such as ChatGPT, which came up with the list above) are great for asking questions ("When did Neural Networks start being developed?"). But, that is just the start.
I am now realizing that I have been dealing with Technophobia all my life while working as a statistician in academia. I learned computer programming because it was easier to do statistical analysis on a computer than using a clunky desktop calculator.
My Academic clients hated to be told that their study had not produced significant results. They couldn't check what I had done and seemed to think that, in any event, the machine was telling me what to do and that I was too stupid to produce significant results for their awful studies. Now, the idea that the AI Machine is telling them what to do is creating panic.
AI is shaking the foundations of Academia. A recent report from MIT report (below) concluded that everything must change and academics hate to change their lesson plans (or anything else).
The AI Crisis can be summarized (more details in the references) with a Directed Graph (above) where AI = Artificial Intelligence (The self-loop on AI is Recursive Improvement), L = Labor, LU = Unemployment (notice the negative sign for the last two), ENERGY = Energy Use, Water = Water Use (for cooling), MARKET CRISIS = Financial Crisis, Recessions, Depressions, ENV CRISIS = Environmental Crisis and SYSTEM COLLAPSE = Collapse of the World-System. The assumption is that if Socio-Economic-Ecological Systems collapse, Human existence will be threatened. There are other scenarios where AI Systems start a nuclear war, etc., etc.
- People are machines NO, the substrate (living tissue) is different from silicon and metal.
- Machines will eventually dominate and control people People have been dominated and controlled by awful people forever (read History).
- AI Systems might become smarter than people That won't be very difficult.
- Trees are human NO, the substrate (wood) is different from living tissue.
- The world-system has consciousness It doesn't. Some people don't exhibit consciousness.
- Technologists hate people Some do; some people hate people.
- Silicon Valley knows what they are doing They don't.
- Government should be run by a big computer Government run by the current clowns in power is much worse.
- We need to escape the Earth before we destroy it If you think that living in a tin can on Mars (a planet with no tees, no water, no atmosphere, etc.) will be great, than go there with Elon Musk and let the Earth heal itself (P.S. You are not coming back).
- People will stop thinking for themselves People don't think for themselves right now.
- Democracy will produce better decisions than computers Democracy produces awful decisions as it is.
- AI is Going to Destroy the World System The World System might destroy itself before AI gets a chance (by some estimates, AI has until 2050 to do something useful before the World-System Collapses).
Notes
Questions
- Ask ChatGPT to write a blog posting about "How to Slow the AI Revolution". How is it different from what you have just read.
Readings
Links
- Instrumental Convergence the hypothesis that sufficiently intelligent, goal-directed entities (whether human or non-human) will tend to pursue certain similar sub-goals, even if the ultimate goals are quite different. More precisely, entities with agency may pursue instrumental goals—specifically, intermediate goals such as self-preservation or resource acquisition—because doing so helps accomplish the entity's end goal.
- Nick Bostrom advances in artificial intelligence (AI) may lead to superintelligence, which he defines as "any intellect that greatly exceeds the cognitive performance of humans in virtually all domains of interest". He views this as a major source of opportunities and existential risks.
- Longtermism the ethical view that positively influencing the long-term future is a key moral priority. It is an important concept in effective altruism and a primary motivation for efforts that aim to reduce existential risks to humanity.
- He Invented a Core Technology Behind ChatGPT. Now He’s Betting $1 Billion It’s a Dead End. Here’s why the rest of the industry should be listening. AI Needs Autocorrect plus World Models.
- Complex Adaptive Systems a system that is complex in that it is a dynamic network of interactions, but the behavior of the ensemble may not be predictable according to the behavior of the components. It is adaptive in that the individual and collective behavior mutate and self-organize corresponding to the change-initiating micro-event or collection of events.
- Gaia Hypothesis proposes that living organisms interact with their inorganic surroundings on Earth to form a synergistic and self-regulating complex system that helps to maintain and perpetuate the conditions for life on the planet.
- AI Bubble a concept that asserts there is a stock market bubble growing since 2025 amid the AI boom, a period of rapid increase in investment in artificial intelligence (AI) that is affecting the broader economy.
- Is AI is Going to Destroy the World System The World System might destroy itself before AI gets a chance (by some estimates, AI has until 2050 to do something useful before the World-System Collapses).
Background Reading
There is no clear path showing that today’s AI systems will lead to superintelligence, much less a basis for calculating the probability of doom.
Sep 21, 2026 Is this how the world ends? Extinction scenarios are taking over the AI debate. As nightmare thought experiments shape the fight over how to govern a multitrillion-dollar industry, some experts say the parables may lead decision-makers astray.
Sep 21, 2026 U.N. Seeks Relevance on A.I. as the U.S. and China Race Ahead Artificial intelligence is a race solely between two rival powers with the rest of the world largely on the sidelines, foreign policy experts said.
Sep 21, 2026 Specter of Rogue A.I. Looms Over U.N. Talks on Digital Cooperation Diplomats, dignitaries and tech experts gathered amid the United Nations General Assembly to debate how to address the threats and harness the potential of artificial intelligence.
Sep 21, 2026 Proposals to Avert AI Disaster from Bernie Sanders, Steve Case, and Susan Rice.
Sep 21, 2026 Are A.I. Models Being Misled to Act Too Human? A corporate spat between two tech giants last week was just the latest volley in a conflict over whether dangerous mistakes are being made in A.I. training.
Sep 20, 2026 U.S. and China Discuss System to Warn of A.I. National Security Issues In a meeting on Sunday, the U.S. Treasury secretary and China’s vice premier talked about having a shared vision on the goals of artificial intelligence and the threats it poses.
Sep 20, 2026 China’s A.I. Makes a Great Leap Forward. But Its Economy Is Falling Behind. As Xi Jinping arrives in the United States this week for a state visit, China’s advances in artificial intelligence will be in the air. Less discussed: China’s economy in its worst shape in decades.
Sep 19, 2026 Creating a Kill Switch to Shut Down a Rogue A.I. Is Harder Than It Sounds A bipartisan group in Congress and Gov. Gavin Newsom of California have floated ideas for building a mechanism that would instantly power down an AI system. Only, no one really knows how.
Sep 19, 2026 A.I. Gone Rogue? Trump Proposes Not New Rules but an ‘A.I. Force.’ The president proposed a follow-up to his Space Force but continued to dismiss worries about AI’s pace or potential for harm ("May the Schwartz be With You!").
Sep 19, 2026 The World Is Talking About A.I.’s Dangers. Now, It’s Time to Act. The Times columnist Kevin Roose sees reasons for optimism — and worry — as the world wakes up to what Silicon Valley has been talking about for years.
Sep 19, 2026 The Rise of A.I. Is Raising Threats From Drones, Police Group Warns The leaps being made in artificial intelligence and the plunging costs of drones pose dangers to cities across the United States, according to the Police Executive Research Forum (trust the Police to figure out AI and Drones).
Sep 19, 2026 A.I. Is a Threat, but Not in the Way You Think Anything AI might do maliciously has already been done by Humans!
Sep 19, 2026 Here’s How Trump and Xi Can Make Progress on A.I. They won't.
Sep 18, 2026 Will AI Kill Us? Can It Hack My Bank Account? Your AI Questions Answered. It's all mostly talk!
Sep 16, 2026 Juliette Kayyem Destroying Humanity is Against the Law Don’t wait for a mass-extinction event before holding AI developers accountable.
Sep 16, 2026 OpenAI Discloses Six New Incidents of ‘Concerning’ A.I. Behavior The artificial intelligence company also released a framework for reporting when its systems go wrong.
Sep 14, 2026 Trump's EPA repeals pollution limits on fossil fuel power plants It's about AI Data Centers not Energy (OK, indirectly)!
Sep 14, 2026 Trump says that a Smart President is all that is needed to Rein In AI Now we should be REALLY SCARED!
Sep 10, 2026 I Asked AI Why It Wants to Destroy Humanity. Apparently, We’re Asking the Wrong Question.
Sep 13, 2026 In the face of AI Catastrophe, Washington Snoozes Surprise!
Sept 13, 2026 LLMs are real, AI is Fake "No, it didn't go rogue"! AI doesn't do anything it wasn't told to do!
Sept 12, 2026 Why Tech Oligarchs Are Willing to Risk Apocalypse to usher in a new stage of Human Evolution (wackadoodle).
Sep 12, 2026 Top AI Leaders call for Slowing Down AI Development so their companies can dominate the field.
Sep 13, 2026 Obama Urges Democrats to move AI Oversight to the Center of Their Agenda because we trust politicians to make good decisions.
Sep 12, 2026 AI Companies talk about Doomsday "Trust us, we are the Tech Industry".
Sep 12, 2026 Why is it Difficult for Tech Companies to Regulate AI? Because they don't know what they are doing (at least, they don't know how to build a secure sandbox).
Sep 11, 2026 Rogue AI didn't breach Hugging Face, human decisions did. At the core of this incident were a series of human choices that traded security for speed.
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